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Micha Hirschinger emphasizes the importance of foresight on logistics§and institutions in particular for effective decision making as distinct§research in this context is limited. He applies a systematic and transferable§multi-method approach based on Delphi studies and fuzzy c-means cluster analysis§to develop profound scenarios for the future. He uses the relevance of§information-processing requirements to investigate whether centralization of§purchasing organizations increases functional efficiency. The author finally§shows how a sharing-economy business model transfer could help to overcome the§limited access to factor markets, especially trucks, at the base of the§pyramid.§