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Flight Delay-Cost Simulation Analysis and Schedule Optimization
A simulation methodology to estimate flight delay and delay propagation
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In order to meet the fast-growing demand, airlines §have applied much more compact air-fleet operation §schedules which directly lead to airport congestion §and flight delay, which appears more frequently and §seriously; the flight delay can also significantly §damage airline s profitability and reputation. To §enhance Airline dispatch reliability, dispatch §reliability and delay cost model have been §developed. Initial (type I) delay and propagated §(type II) delay are adopted as the criterion for §data classification and analysis. The randomicity of §type I delay occurrence and the internal §relationship between type II delay and changed §flight schedule are considered as the core factors §in this new approach of reliability modeling, which §has been proved can achieve more accurate on the §departure delay and cost evaluation modeling. §Finally a new approach and program (FDCSP) of §schedule opetimization based on simulation technique §is produced. The end-users can be airlines, airports §and aviation authorities, etc.
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